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Will AI replace Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media jobs?

40 jobs scored. On average 49% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 71 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

71
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
40
Jobs scored in this family
49%
Average share of task time that still needs a person
2.5M
US workers in these jobs

How Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media work could shift

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
6%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
1%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
83% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
1%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
98% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 6.4% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)6%2026: 88.9% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)89%2026: 4.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)Today2030: 1.1% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2030: 45.3% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)45%2030: 53.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)54%20302035: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2035: 10.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)11%2035: 26.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)27%2035: 46.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)46%2035: 15.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)15%20352040: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2040: 1.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2040: 11.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)11%2040: 27.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)28%2040: 58.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)59%20402045: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2045: 1.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2045: 13.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)13%2045: 82.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)83%20452050: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2050: 1.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 6.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)6%2050: 91.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)92%20502055: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2055: 1.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2055: 97.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)98%20552060: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)2060: 1.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 97.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)98%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%4.7%88.9%6.4%
20300.0%0.0%53.6%45.3%1.1%
203515.4%46.4%26.7%10.8%0.6%
204058.8%27.6%11.4%1.6%0.6%
204582.8%13.3%1.7%1.6%0.6%
205091.8%6.0%0.0%1.6%0.6%
205597.7%0.1%0.0%1.6%0.6%
206097.8%0.0%0.0%1.6%0.6%

Every Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media job, ranked

Writers and AuthorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3043
56↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 21%AI helps 79%Needs a human 0%
20382036–2044
48k
$76,910
Technical WritersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3042
56↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 39%AI helps 52%Needs a human 9%
20382036–2044
46k
$90,390
Poets, Lyricists and Creative WritersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3043.05
57↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 35%AI helps 43%Needs a human 22%
20382036–2044
48k
$76,910
Broadcast Announcers and Radio Disc JockeysArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3011
61↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 28%AI helps 59%Needs a human 13%
20392036–2046
21k
$47,340
Interpreters and TranslatorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3091
61↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 24%AI helps 53%Needs a human 23%
20392036–2046
52k
$60,170
Public Relations SpecialistsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3031
61↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 23%AI helps 46%Needs a human 31%
20382036–2045
283k
$74,750
Graphic DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1024
62↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 82%Needs a human 8%
20402036–2047
198k
$62,960
EditorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3041
62↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 33%AI helps 43%Needs a human 24%
20392036–2046
92k
$77,920
Special Effects Artists and AnimatorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1014
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 87%Needs a human 10%
20402036–2048
20k
$102,030
News Analysts, Reporters, and JournalistsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3023
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 56%Needs a human 30%
20392036–2048
39k
$62,200
Court Reporters and Simultaneous CaptionersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-3092
66↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 22%AI helps 45%Needs a human 33%
20402036–2049
13k
$72,420
Film and Video EditorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4032
66↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 69%Needs a human 27%
20402036–2048
26k
$75,420
Producers and DirectorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2012
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 21%AI helps 44%Needs a human 35%
20402036–2048
143k
$90,360
Art DirectorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1011
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 64%Needs a human 29%
20402036–2048
53k
$114,850
Interior DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1025
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 72%Needs a human 21%
20412037–2050
72k
$67,190
Audio and Video TechniciansArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4011
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 2%AI helps 55%Needs a human 43%
20422037–2054
70k
$58,100
Broadcast TechniciansArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4012
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 2%AI helps 56%Needs a human 42%
20432038–2055
21k
$59,570
Media Programming DirectorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2012.03
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 64%Needs a human 32%
20412037–2051
143k
$90,360
Talent DirectorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2012.04
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 52%Needs a human 42%
20412037–2051
143k
$90,360
Music Directors and ComposersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2041
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 63%Needs a human 37%
20412037–2051
13k
$73,710
Fashion DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1022
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 40%Needs a human 56%
20422037–2054
21k
$80,960
Commercial and Industrial DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1021
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 42%Needs a human 54%
20412037–2051
33k
$83,910
Disc Jockeys, Except RadioArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2091
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 41%Needs a human 59%
20412037–2053
8k
Set and Exhibit DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1027
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 44%Needs a human 56%
20412037–2052
11k
$75,240
Craft ArtistsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1012
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 40%Needs a human 60%
20442037–2060+
5k
$46,080
Media Technical Directors/ManagersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2012.05
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 47%Needs a human 53%
20422037–2053
143k
$90,360
Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and IllustratorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1013
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 30%Needs a human 67%
20442037–2060+
11k
$55,490
PhotographersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4021
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 26%Needs a human 69%
20442037–2060+
52k
$44,660
Coaches and ScoutsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2022
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 30%Needs a human 70%
20422037–2054
249k
$47,320
Sound Engineering TechniciansArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4014
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 39%Needs a human 61%
20452038–2060+
13k
$73,130
Camera Operators, Television, Video, and FilmArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4031
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 27%Needs a human 73%
20452038–2060+
22k
$74,990
Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports OfficialsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2023
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 27%Needs a human 73%
20442038–2060
16k
$40,710
Floral DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1023
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 30%Needs a human 70%
20462038–2060+
41k
$37,360
Merchandise Displayers and Window TrimmersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1026
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20462038–2060+
165k
$39,390
ActorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2011
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 12%AI helps 0%Needs a human 88%
20462038–2060+
55k
Lighting TechniciansArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-4015
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 13%Needs a human 87%
20482038–2060+
9k
$68,060
ChoreographersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2032
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 10%Needs a human 90%
20422037–2056
3k
$55,310
Athletes and Sports CompetitorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2021
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20472038–2060+
15k
$66,710
Musicians and SingersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2042
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 9%Needs a human 91%
20482038–2060+
36k
DancersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-2031
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20492038–2060+
8k