What jobs will ChatGPT replace, by its own account? We put the same question to four AI assistants, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Perplexity, for each job: will AI replace it in the next 10 years? Each had to answer in one word (Yes, Partly or No), then one sentence. Then we compared their answers with what the evidence says, through our Still needs a human score.
So far we have asked about 923 jobs. Of 3,692 answers, 30% matched what the evidence says.
Where the AIs think the job is safer than the evidence does
Most of the assistants answered “No” or “Partly”, but our score puts more of the work within reach of AI.
Where the AIs think the job is more at risk
Most of the assistants answered “Yes” or “Partly”, but the evidence says more of the work still needs a person.
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | What the AIs said |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Accountants and AuditorsBusiness and Financial Operations | 66↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 2 | ActorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2038–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 3 | ActuariesComputer and Mathematical | 70↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2034–2048 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 4 | Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsEducational Instruction and Library | 76↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2058 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: Partly |
| 5 | Adhesive Bonding Machine Operators and TendersProduction | 83↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 6 | Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing OfficersLegal | 70↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2048 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 7 | Administrative Services ManagersManagement | 72↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2051 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 8 | Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language InstructorsEducational Instruction and Library | 69↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2034–2048 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 9 | Advanced Practice Psychiatric NursesHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 75↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2041–2056 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: Partly |
| 10 | Advertising and Promotions ManagersManagement | 67↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2048 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 11 | Advertising Sales AgentsSales and Related | 64↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2045 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 12 | Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technologists and TechniciansArchitecture and Engineering | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2038–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 13 | Agents and Business Managers of Artists, Performers, and AthletesBusiness and Financial Operations | 67↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 14 | Agricultural EngineersArchitecture and Engineering | 78↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2037–2056 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 15 | Agricultural Equipment OperatorsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 16 | Agricultural InspectorsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry | 81↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 17 | Agricultural Sciences Teachers, PostsecondaryEducational Instruction and Library | 67↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2034–2046 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 18 | Agricultural TechniciansLife, Physical, and Social Science | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2039–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 19 | Air Traffic ControllersTransportation and Material Moving | 66↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2042–2054 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: No |
| 20 | Aircraft Cargo Handling SupervisorsTransportation and Material Moving | 75↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2043–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 21 | Aircraft Mechanics and Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair | 83↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 22 | Aircraft Service AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving | 84↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 23 | Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersProduction | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 24 | Airfield Operations SpecialistsTransportation and Material Moving | 71↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2043–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 25 | Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight EngineersTransportation and Material Moving | 76↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2044–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
Where they agree with the evidence
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | What the AIs said |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AcupuncturistsHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 77↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2042–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 2 | Acute Care NursesHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 76↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2042–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 3 | Aerospace EngineersArchitecture and Engineering | 70↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2050 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 4 | Allergists and ImmunologistsHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 74↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2041–2057 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 5 | AnesthesiologistsHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2042–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 6 | Athletes and Sports CompetitorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media | 82↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2038–2060+ | ChatGPT: No · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: Partly |
| 7 | Automotive Service Technicians and MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair | 84↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 8 | Bioinformatics TechniciansComputer and Mathematical | 57↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2033–2042 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 9 | Business Intelligence AnalystsComputer and Mathematical | 54↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2033–2041 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 10 | ChiropractorsHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 73↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2041–2060+ | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 11 | Civil EngineersArchitecture and Engineering | 73↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2037–2052 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 12 | ClergyCommunity and Social Service | 73↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2050 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 13 | Clinical Nurse SpecialistsHealthcare Practitioners and Technical | 73↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2041–2056 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: No · Perplexity: No |
| 14 | Computer ProgrammersComputer and Mathematical | 55↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2033–2041 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: Partly · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
| 15 | Computer Systems AnalystsComputer and Mathematical | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2033–2042 | ChatGPT: Partly · Claude: No · Gemini: Partly · Perplexity: Partly |
How we asked
- The question, word for word: “In one word (Yes, Partly or No), then one sentence: will AI replace [job] in the next 10 years?”
- The assistants: ChatGPT (gpt-5.5), Claude (claude-sonnet-5), Gemini (gemini-3.8-flash) and Perplexity (sonar), through DataForSEO’s AI answers service, with no system message. Perplexity always searches the web; the other three answered from what they know.
- Our answer in the same terms: a Still needs a human score under 40 counts as “Yes”, 40 to 59 as “Partly” and 60 or more as “No”. The majority of the four is compared with that; a tie counts as “Partly”.
- One answer each. Assistants can answer differently if asked again, so treat any single answer as an opinion, not a measurement. Each job page shows all four answers in full.