Will AI replace Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance jobs?
8 jobs scored. On average 80% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 82 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
82
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
8
Jobs scored in this family
80%
Average share of task time that still needs a person
4.5M
US workers in these jobs
How Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance work could shift
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
91%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
26%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
18% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
26%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
64% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 90.9% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| 2035 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.6% | 52.5% | 27.9% |
| 2040 | 0.0% | 20.2% | 30.2% | 23.6% | 26.0% |
| 2045 | 17.6% | 25.4% | 28.2% | 2.8% | 26.0% |
| 2050 | 34.1% | 30.2% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 26.0% |
| 2055 | 50.1% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 26.0% |
| 2060 | 64.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 26.0% |
Every Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance job, ranked
First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial WorkersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-1011
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 46%Needs a human 51%
20512045–2060+
179k
$49,100
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping WorkersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-1012
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 43%Needs a human 54%
20512045–2060+
131k
$58,430
Pest Control WorkersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-2021
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 31%Needs a human 69%
20542045–2060+
103k
$45,250
Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, VegetationBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-3012
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20552046–2060+
27k
$46,340
Tree Trimmers and PrunersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-3013
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20582046–2060+
55k
$50,960
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping CleanersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-2011
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 5%Needs a human 95%
20582046–2060+
2.2M
$36,840
Maids and Housekeeping CleanersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-2012
88↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20602047–2060+
861k
$35,510
Landscaping and Groundskeeping WorkersBuilding and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance · 37-3011
88↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
2046–2060+
953k
$39,150