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Will AI replace business operations specialists?

32 jobs scored. On average 28% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 67 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

67
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
32
Jobs scored in this family
28%
Average share of that still needs a person
15.6M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Business Operations Specialists

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
96% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
100% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 86.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)86%2026: 13.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)14%Today2030: 21.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)21%2030: 75.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)76%2030: 3.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)20302035: 0.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2035: 23.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)24%2035: 41.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)41%2035: 34.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)35%20352040: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2040: 1.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2040: 24.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)24%2040: 73.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)74%20402045: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2045: 3.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2045: 96.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)96%20452050: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 0.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2050: 99.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20502055: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 99.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20552060: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 99.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%13.8%86.2%0.0%
20300.0%3.0%75.8%21.2%0.0%
203534.7%41.4%23.5%0.5%0.0%
204073.7%24.4%1.8%0.1%0.0%
204596.1%3.8%0.1%0.1%0.0%
205099.6%0.4%0.0%0.1%0.0%
205599.9%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
206099.9%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%

Every job in Business Operations Specialists, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Market Research Analysts and Marketing SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1161
54↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 59%AI helps 29%Needs a human 12%
20372034–2042
900k
$78,760
Search Marketing StrategistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1161.01
56↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 44%AI helps 51%Needs a human 5%
20372034–2043
900k
$78,760
Online MerchantsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1199.06
58↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 39%AI helps 45%Needs a human 16%
20372035–2045
1.1M
$83,050
Human Resources SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1071
61↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 25%AI helps 64%Needs a human 11%
20382035–2045
912k
$75,940
Management AnalystsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1111
62↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 22%AI helps 58%Needs a human 20%
20382035–2046
898k
$101,860
Compliance OfficersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041
63↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 27%AI helps 49%Needs a human 24%
20382035–2046
417k
$80,730
Customs BrokersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.08
63↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 18%AI helps 71%Needs a human 11%
20392035–2047
417k
$80,730
Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm ProductsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1023
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 23%AI helps 59%Needs a human 18%
20382035–2046
491k
$77,710
Logistics AnalystsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1081.02
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 9%AI helps 87%Needs a human 4%
20392035–2047
251k
$82,320
Insurance Appraisers, Auto DamageBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1032
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 84%Needs a human 16%
20402036–2048
12k
$78,240
Logistics EngineersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1081.01
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 18%AI helps 69%Needs a human 13%
20392035–2047
251k
$82,320
Training and Development SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1151
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 23%AI helps 47%Needs a human 30%
20382035–2047
458k
$69,280
Regulatory Affairs SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.07
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 9%AI helps 75%Needs a human 16%
20392035–2047
417k
$80,730
Project Management SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1082
66↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 65%Needs a human 25%
20392035–2047
1.1M
$102,320
Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and InvestigatorsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1031
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 71%Needs a human 21%
20402035–2048
324k
$78,000
Business Continuity PlannersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1199.04
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 68%Needs a human 25%
20392035–2047
1.1M
$83,050
Agents and Business Managers of Artists, Performers, and AthletesBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1011
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 57%Needs a human 33%
20392035–2047
13k
$82,890
Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1141
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 85%Needs a human 12%
20402035–2048
112k
$78,210
Sustainability SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1199.05
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 74%Needs a human 20%
20402035–2048
1.1M
$83,050
Cost EstimatorsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1051
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 70%Needs a human 30%
20402035–2049
224k
$78,740
Equal Opportunity Representatives and OfficersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.03
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 9%AI helps 55%Needs a human 36%
20392035–2048
417k
$80,730
LogisticiansBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1081
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 62%Needs a human 34%
20392035–2048
251k
$82,320
Meeting, Convention, and Event PlannersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1121
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 82%Needs a human 18%
20402035–2049
143k
$61,160
Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm ProductsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1022
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 64%Needs a human 36%
20392035–2049
491k
$77,710
FundraisersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1131
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 62%Needs a human 35%
20402036–2049
111k
$72,550
Buyers and Purchasing Agents, Farm ProductsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1021
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 67%Needs a human 33%
20412036–2051
491k
$77,710
Labor Relations SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1075
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 2%AI helps 72%Needs a human 26%
20412036–2049
65k
$95,420
Environmental Compliance InspectorsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.01
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 53%Needs a human 47%
20422036–2054
417k
$80,730
Government Property Inspectors and InvestigatorsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.04
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 23%AI helps 8%Needs a human 69%
20422036–2057
417k
$80,730
Security Management SpecialistsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1199.07
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 42%Needs a human 54%
20412036–2053
1.1M
$83,050
Farm Labor ContractorsBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1074
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 28%Needs a human 72%
20442037–2060+
310
$58,460
CoronersBusiness and Financial Operations · 13-1041.06
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 25%Needs a human 75%
20442037–2060+
417k
$80,730