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Will AI replace Community and Social Service jobs?

14 jobs scored. On average 55% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 72 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

72
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
14
Jobs scored in this family
55%
Average share of task time that still needs a person
2.9M
US workers in these jobs

How Community and Social Service work could shift

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
88% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
100% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%Today2030: 60.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)61%2030: 39.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)39%20302035: 40.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)40%2035: 40.2% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)40%2035: 19.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)20%20352040: 2.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2040: 35.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)36%2040: 61.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)61%20402045: 12.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)12%2045: 87.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)88%20452050: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20502055: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20552060: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%39.3%60.7%0.0%
203519.7%40.2%40.1%0.0%0.0%
204061.4%35.9%2.6%0.0%0.0%
204587.6%12.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2050100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2055100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2060100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every Community and Social Service job, ranked

Health Education SpecialistsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1091
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 53%Needs a human 33%
20402036–2048
66k
$64,070
Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and AdvisorsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1012
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 2%AI helps 49%Needs a human 49%
20392036–2049
353k
$64,330
Directors, Religious Activities and EducationCommunity and Social Service · 21-2021
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 45%Needs a human 45%
20402036–2049
22k
$52,100
Community Health WorkersCommunity and Social Service · 21-1094
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 54%Needs a human 46%
20412036–2052
62k
$51,850
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social WorkersCommunity and Social Service · 21-1023
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 47%Needs a human 53%
20402036–2050
133k
$60,280
Child, Family, and School Social WorkersCommunity and Social Service · 21-1021
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 34%Needs a human 63%
20402036–2049
393k
$59,550
Rehabilitation CounselorsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1015
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 56%Needs a human 44%
20412036–2050
95k
$46,850
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder CounselorsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1011
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 43%Needs a human 53%
20412036–2050
492k
$59,350
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment SpecialistsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1092
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 39%Needs a human 61%
20412037–2052
89k
$66,270
Mental Health CounselorsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1014
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 39%Needs a human 61%
20412036–2050
492k
$59,350
Marriage and Family TherapistsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1013
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 37%Needs a human 63%
20412036–2050
67k
$66,940
ClergyCommunity and Social Service · 21-2011
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 11%AI helps 14%Needs a human 75%
20402036–2050
57k
$60,810
Social and Human Service AssistantsCommunity and Social Service · 21-1093
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 39%Needs a human 61%
20412036–2051
438k
$45,930
Healthcare Social WorkersCommunity and Social Service · 21-1022
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 31%Needs a human 69%
20402036–2051
188k
$67,880