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Will AI replace agricultural workers?

6 jobs scored. On average 90% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 83 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

83
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
6
Jobs scored in this family
90%
Average share of that still needs a person
368k
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Agricultural Workers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
100%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
10%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
20% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
10%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
80% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)100%Today2030: 61.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)62%2030: 38.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)39%20302035: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2035: 70.3% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)70%2035: 19.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)20%20352040: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2040: 22.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)22%2040: 47.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)47%2040: 20.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)20%20402045: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2045: 39.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)40%2045: 30.2% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)30%2045: 20.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)20%20452050: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2050: 10.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)10%2050: 39.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)39%2050: 40.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)40%20502055: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2055: 29.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)30%2055: 60.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)60%20552060: 10.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)10%2060: 10.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)10%2060: 79.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)80%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20300.0%0.0%0.0%38.5%61.5%
20350.0%0.0%19.7%70.3%10.0%
20400.0%20.4%47.4%22.2%10.0%
204520.0%30.2%39.8%0.0%10.0%
205040.4%39.3%10.3%0.0%10.0%
205560.1%29.9%0.0%0.0%10.0%
206079.7%10.3%0.0%0.0%10.0%

Every job in Agricultural Workers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Animal BreedersFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2021
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20552046–2060+
1k
$51,130
Agricultural InspectorsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2011
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20542046–2060+
14k
$49,940
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and GreenhouseFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2092
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 4%AI helps 11%Needs a human 85%
20572046–2060+
266k
$35,660
Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural AnimalsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2093
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 9%Needs a human 91%
20572046–2060+
33k
$36,670
Agricultural Equipment OperatorsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2091
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582046–2060+
29k
$41,730
Graders and Sorters, Agricultural ProductsFarming, Fishing, and Forestry · 45-2041
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592046–2060+
25k
$35,730