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Will AI replace healthcare support jobs?

19 jobs scored. On average 77% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 81 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

81
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
19
Jobs scored in this family
77%
Average share of that still needs a person
12.3M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Healthcare Support

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
92%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
9%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
25% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
9%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
86% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 91.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)92%2026: 8.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)8%Today2030: 40.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)40%2030: 59.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)60%2030: 0.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)20302035: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2035: 64.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)65%2035: 26.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)26%2035: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)20352040: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2040: 14.9% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)15%2040: 48.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)49%2040: 27.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)27%2040: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)20402045: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2045: 0.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 24.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)25%2045: 40.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)41%2045: 24.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)25%20452050: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2050: 0.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 3.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2050: 36.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)37%2050: 49.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)50%20502055: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2055: 0.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 14.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)15%2055: 75.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)75%20552060: 9.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2060: 0.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 3.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2060: 86.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)86%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%8.2%91.8%
20300.0%0.0%0.3%59.6%40.0%
20350.0%0.1%26.1%64.6%9.2%
20400.1%27.3%48.6%14.9%9.2%
204524.9%40.5%24.6%0.8%9.2%
205049.5%36.8%3.7%0.8%9.2%
205575.3%14.7%0.0%0.8%9.2%
206086.3%3.7%0.0%0.8%9.2%

Every job in Healthcare Support, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Medical TranscriptionistsHealthcare Support · 31-9094
60↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 27%AI helps 66%Needs a human 7%
20462043–2053
42k
$40,410
Pharmacy AidesHealthcare Support · 31-9095
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 11%AI helps 41%Needs a human 48%
20492044–2060+
40k
$37,680
Speech-Language Pathology AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-9099.01
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 35%Needs a human 65%
20522045–2060+
110k
$48,430
Medical AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-9092
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 32%Needs a human 63%
20532045–2060+
818k
$45,690
Occupational Therapy AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-2011
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20532045–2060+
51k
$72,300
Personal Care AidesHealthcare Support · 31-1122
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20532045–2060+
4.3M
$35,800
Dental AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-9091
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 28%Needs a human 72%
20542045–2060+
388k
$48,070
Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal CaretakersHealthcare Support · 31-9096
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 4%AI helps 18%Needs a human 78%
20552045–2060+
127k
$38,150
Occupational Therapy AidesHealthcare Support · 31-2012
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20542045–2060+
4k
$39,160
Massage TherapistsHealthcare Support · 31-9011
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 23%Needs a human 77%
20552045–2060+
99k
$58,450
Physical Therapist AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-2021
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 15%Needs a human 85%
20552045–2060+
112k
$68,380
Physical Therapist AidesHealthcare Support · 31-2022
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 12%Needs a human 83%
20552045–2060+
48k
$35,240
PhlebotomistsHealthcare Support · 31-9097
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 19%Needs a human 81%
20562045–2060+
144k
$45,230
Nursing AssistantsHealthcare Support · 31-1131
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 12%Needs a human 88%
20562045–2060+
1.4M
$42,260
Home Health AidesHealthcare Support · 31-1121
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20572045–2060+
4.3M
$35,800
Psychiatric AidesHealthcare Support · 31-1133
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 12%Needs a human 88%
20562045–2060+
36k
$44,910
Endoscopy TechniciansHealthcare Support · 31-9099.02
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 4%AI helps 0%Needs a human 96%
20572045–2060+
110k
$48,430
Medical Equipment PreparersHealthcare Support · 31-9093
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 7%Needs a human 93%
20572046–2060+
77k
$47,700
OrderliesHealthcare Support · 31-1132
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 4%Needs a human 96%
20592045–2060+
52k
$38,290