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Will AI replace Installation, Maintenance, and Repair jobs?

50 jobs scored. On average 85% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 82 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

82
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
50
Jobs scored in this family
85%
Average share of task time that still needs a person
6.1M
US workers in these jobs

How Installation, Maintenance, and Repair work could shift

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
73%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
7%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
24% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
7%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
88% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 73.0% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)73%2026: 27.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)27%Today2030: 40.7% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)41%2030: 59.3% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)59%20302035: 7.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2035: 63.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)64%2035: 29.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)29%20352040: 7.3% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)7%2040: 18.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)18%2040: 45.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)46%2040: 29.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)29%20402045: 7.3% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)7%2045: 2.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 25.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)26%2045: 40.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)41%2045: 23.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)24%20452050: 7.3% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)7%2050: 2.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 2.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2050: 40.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)41%2050: 47.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)47%20502055: 7.3% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)7%2055: 2.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 16.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)17%2055: 73.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)73%20552060: 7.3% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)7%2060: 2.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 1.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2060: 88.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)88%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%27.0%73.0%
20300.0%0.0%0.0%59.3%40.7%
20350.0%0.0%29.0%63.5%7.5%
20400.0%29.1%45.5%18.1%7.3%
204523.9%40.5%25.6%2.7%7.3%
205047.0%40.7%2.3%2.7%7.3%
205573.4%16.6%0.0%2.7%7.3%
206088.1%1.9%0.0%2.7%7.3%

Every Installation, Maintenance, and Repair job, ranked

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-1011
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 41%Needs a human 54%
20502045–2060+
618k
$79,860
Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2011
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 22%Needs a human 68%
20522045–2060+
66k
$47,810
Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial EquipmentInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2094
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 25%Needs a human 75%
20532045–2060+
65k
$74,090
Industrial Machinery MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9041
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 30%Needs a human 65%
20532045–2060+
440k
$64,520
Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and RelayInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2095
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 35%Needs a human 65%
20532045–2060+
21k
$103,020
Medical Equipment RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9062
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 26%Needs a human 74%
20532045–2060+
66k
$61,660
Audiovisual Equipment Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2097
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 27%Needs a human 73%
20532045–2060+
20k
$52,600
Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2022
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 20%Needs a human 75%
20532045–2060+
141k
$63,890
Geothermal TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9099.01
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 27%Needs a human 73%
20542045–2060+
176k
$49,230
Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9091
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 32%Needs a human 68%
20542045–2060+
26k
$47,450
Security and Fire Alarm Systems InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2098
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 14%Needs a human 81%
20542045–2060+
86k
$60,070
Avionics TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2091
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 29%Needs a human 71%
20542045–2060+
19k
$82,280
Camera and Photographic Equipment RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9061
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 14%Needs a human 81%
20542045–2060+
2k
$52,720
Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation EquipmentInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2093
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 26%Needs a human 74%
20552045–2060+
7k
$84,890
Home Appliance RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9031
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20552046–2060+
32k
$50,990
Wind Turbine Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9081
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20562045–2060+
10k
$64,120
Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor VehiclesInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2096
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20552045–2060+
9k
$48,420
Radio, Cellular, and Tower Equipment Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2021
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20562046–2060+
11k
$63,520
Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3041
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 15%Needs a human 85%
20562046–2060+
38k
$56,550
Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9021
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 4%AI helps 11%Needs a human 85%
20552045–2060+
410k
$61,010
Maintenance Workers, MachineryInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9043
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 18%Needs a human 82%
20562045–2060+
60k
$60,850
Watch and Clock RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9064
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 18%Needs a human 82%
20562045–2060+
1k
$67,230
Aircraft Mechanics and Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3011
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 15%Needs a human 85%
20562045–2060+
138k
$79,870
Maintenance and Repair Workers, GeneralInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9071
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20562046–2060+
1.5M
$49,590
Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical DoorInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9012
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20562045–2060+
48k
$74,340
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except EnginesInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3042
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 15%Needs a human 85%
20562045–2060+
177k
$65,510
Bicycle RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3091
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 19%Needs a human 81%
20562045–2060+
12k
$42,780
Telecommunications Line Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9052
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 5%Needs a human 95%
20562045–2060+
98k
$74,330
Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3053
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20562046–2060+
36k
$47,880
Mechanical Door RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9011
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 13%Needs a human 87%
20562046–2060+
27k
$55,720
Automotive Service Technicians and MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3023
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 7%Needs a human 93%
20562045–2060+
705k
$50,620
Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-2092
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20572046–2060+
14k
$56,210
RiggersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9096
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20562045–2060+
23k
$62,640
Recreational Vehicle Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3092
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 11%Needs a human 89%
20572045–2060+
17k
$52,000
Manufactured Building and Mobile Home InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9095
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20572045–2060+
3k
$45,990
Commercial DiversInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9092
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20572046–2060+
3k
$72,990
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine SpecialistsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3031
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20572045–2060+
290k
$61,770
Electrical Power-Line Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9051
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582045–2060+
131k
$95,320
Locksmiths and Safe RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9094
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20582046–2060+
15k
$51,320
Helpers–Installation, Maintenance, and Repair WorkersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9098
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20582046–2060+
96k
$39,630
Musical Instrument Repairers and TunersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9063
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582045–2060+
5k
$46,420
Motorboat Mechanics and Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3051
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 10%Needs a human 90%
20582046–2060+
23k
$57,550
Motorcycle MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3052
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582046–2060+
14k
$48,580
Signal and Track Switch RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9097
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 9%Needs a human 91%
20582046–2060+
9k
$92,460
Automotive Body and Related RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3021
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 4%Needs a human 96%
20582045–2060+
149k
$54,890
Rail Car RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3043
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20582046–2060+
21k
$67,530
Automotive Glass Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3022
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592046–2060+
20k
$47,630
MillwrightsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9044
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592046–2060+
40k
$65,700
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except BrickmasonsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9045
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592045–2060+
1k
$61,290
Tire Repairers and ChangersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-3093
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 3%Needs a human 97%
20592046–2060+
108k
$37,710