Will AI replace lawyers, judges, and related workers?
5 jobs scored. On average 46% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 72 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
72
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
5
Jobs scored in this family
46%
Average share of Task timeHow a job’s working hours divide between its tasks. Tasks that matter more and come up more often get a bigger share.More in the glossary that still needs a person
817k
US workers in these jobs
How the work could shift in Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
3%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
90% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
100% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 97.1% | 2.9% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39.8% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
| 2035 | 20.0% | 39.7% | 39.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| 2040 | 60.0% | 39.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2045 | 89.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2050 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2055 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2060 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Every job in Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers, ranked
Judicial Law ClerksLegal · 23-1012
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 9%AI helps 68%Needs a human 23%
20402036–2049
13k
$64,920
Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing OfficersLegal · 23-1021
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 52%Needs a human 40%
20402036–2048
16k
$117,860
Arbitrators, Mediators, and ConciliatorsLegal · 23-1022
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 50%Needs a human 44%
20402036–2049
9k
$75,530
LawyersLegal · 23-1011
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 50%Needs a human 44%
20402036–2049
755k
$159,670
Judges, Magistrate Judges, and MagistratesLegal · 23-1023
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 7%AI helps 12%Needs a human 81%
20412036–2053
24k
$153,990