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Will AI replace sales and related jobs?

22 jobs scored. On average 32% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 65 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

65
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
22
Jobs scored in this family
32%
Average share of that still needs a person
13.6M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Sales and Related

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
82% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
98% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 75.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)76%2026: 24.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)24%Today2030: 41.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)41%2030: 52.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)52%2030: 7.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)7%20302035: 7.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)8%2035: 23.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)23%2035: 38.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)38%2035: 30.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)31%20352040: 2.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2040: 9.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)9%2040: 20.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)21%2040: 67.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)68%20402045: 2.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 15.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)16%2045: 81.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)82%20452050: 2.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 5.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)6%2050: 91.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)92%20502055: 2.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 97.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)98%20552060: 2.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 97.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)98%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%24.3%75.7%0.0%
20300.0%7.0%52.0%41.0%0.0%
203530.9%38.1%23.3%7.7%0.0%
204067.5%20.9%9.0%2.5%0.0%
204581.9%15.6%0.0%2.5%0.0%
205091.9%5.6%0.0%2.5%0.0%
205597.5%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.0%
206097.5%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.0%

Every job in Sales and Related, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

TelemarketersSales and Related · 41-9041
53↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 44%AI helps 56%Needs a human 0%
20362034–2042
58k
$35,450
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and TravelSales and Related · 41-3091
54↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 50%AI helps 46%Needs a human 4%
20362034–2042
1.3M
$69,990
Travel AgentsSales and Related · 41-3041
55↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 10%AI helps 90%Needs a human 0%
20372034–2043
55k
$50,160
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific ProductsSales and Related · 41-4012
57↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 51%AI helps 26%Needs a human 23%
20372034–2044
1.2M
$72,080
Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales AgentsSales and Related · 41-3031
58↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 36%AI helps 59%Needs a human 5%
20372034–2043
490k
$78,660
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific ProductsSales and Related · 41-4011
59↑ saferAI replace? Partly.
AI does 36%AI helps 50%Needs a human 14%
20372034–2044
285k
$104,920
Insurance Sales AgentsSales and Related · 41-3021
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 12%AI helps 68%Needs a human 20%
20382035–2046
479k
$62,280
Real Estate BrokersSales and Related · 41-9021
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 77%Needs a human 16%
20382034–2046
46k
$73,220
Advertising Sales AgentsSales and Related · 41-3011
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 68%Needs a human 18%
20382035–2045
92k
$64,820
Sales EngineersSales and Related · 41-9031
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 55%Needs a human 31%
20372034–2045
52k
$124,900
Solar Sales Representatives and AssessorsSales and Related · 41-4011.07
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 79%Needs a human 13%
20392035–2047
285k
$104,920
Counter and Rental ClerksSales and Related · 41-2021
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 25%AI helps 40%Needs a human 35%
20382035–2049
401k
$41,300
Real Estate Sales AgentsSales and Related · 41-9022
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 19%AI helps 48%Needs a human 33%
20382035–2046
193k
$52,830
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales WorkersSales and Related · 41-1012
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 60%Needs a human 34%
20392035–2048
214k
$87,520
Retail SalespersonsSales and Related · 41-2031
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 43%Needs a human 47%
20402035–2054
3.9M
$35,410
Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related WorkersSales and Related · 41-9091
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 29%AI helps 11%Needs a human 60%
20412035–2056
3k
$41,380
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales WorkersSales and Related · 41-1011
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 66%Needs a human 34%
20402036–2052
1.1M
$48,520
Demonstrators and Product PromotersSales and Related · 41-9011
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 24%Needs a human 66%
20422036–2058
65k
$39,320
CashiersSales and Related · 41-2011
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 28%Needs a human 64%
20432036–2060+
3.1M
$32,880
Parts SalespersonsSales and Related · 41-2022
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 46%Needs a human 54%
20432036–2060+
270k
$38,630
ModelsSales and Related · 41-9012
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 35%Needs a human 65%
20432036–2060+
4k
$48,470
Gambling Change Persons and Booth CashiersSales and Related · 41-2012
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 31%Needs a human 69%
20452036–2060+
22k
$36,220