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Will AI replace art and design workers?

11 jobs scored. On average 46% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 71 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

71
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
11
Jobs scored in this family
46%
Average share of that still needs a person
630k
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Art and Design Workers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
82% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
97% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%Today2030: 51.4% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)51%2030: 48.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)49%20302035: 13.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)14%2035: 29.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)30%2035: 45.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)46%2035: 11.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)11%20352040: 3.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2040: 11.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)12%2040: 31.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)31%2040: 53.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)54%20402045: 3.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 3.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2045: 10.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)11%2045: 82.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)82%20452050: 3.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 7.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)7%2050: 89.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)89%20502055: 3.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 96.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)97%20552060: 3.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 96.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)97%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%48.6%51.4%0.0%
203511.0%45.6%29.5%13.8%0.0%
204053.7%31.1%11.7%3.5%0.0%
204582.4%10.9%3.3%3.5%0.0%
205089.3%7.1%0.0%3.5%0.0%
205596.5%0.0%0.0%3.5%0.0%
206096.5%0.0%0.0%3.5%0.0%

Every job in Art and Design Workers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Graphic DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1024
62↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 82%Needs a human 8%
20402036–2047
198k
$62,960
Special Effects Artists and AnimatorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1014
64↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 87%Needs a human 10%
20402036–2048
20k
$102,030
Art DirectorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1011
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 64%Needs a human 29%
20402036–2048
53k
$114,850
Interior DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1025
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 72%Needs a human 21%
20412037–2050
72k
$67,190
Fashion DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1022
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 40%Needs a human 56%
20422037–2054
21k
$80,960
Commercial and Industrial DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1021
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 42%Needs a human 54%
20412037–2051
33k
$83,910
Set and Exhibit DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1027
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 44%Needs a human 56%
20412037–2052
11k
$75,240
Craft ArtistsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1012
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 40%Needs a human 60%
20442037–2060+
5k
$46,080
Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and IllustratorsArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1013
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 30%Needs a human 67%
20442037–2060+
11k
$55,490
Merchandise Displayers and Window TrimmersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1026
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20462038–2060+
165k
$39,390
Floral DesignersArts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media · 27-1023
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 30%Needs a human 70%
20462038–2060+
41k
$37,360