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Will AI replace other repair and maintenance workers?

24 jobs scored. On average 88% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 83 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

83
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
24
Jobs scored in this family
88%
Average share of that still needs a person
3.3M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Other Repair and Maintenance Workers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
78%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
8%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
22% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
8%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
89% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 78.2% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)78%2026: 21.8% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)22%Today2030: 40.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)41%2030: 59.4% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)59%20302035: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2035: 67.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)67%2035: 25.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)25%20352040: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2040: 17.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)18%2040: 48.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)49%2040: 25.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)26%20402045: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2045: 2.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 27.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)27%2045: 40.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)41%2045: 22.2% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)22%20452050: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2050: 2.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 1.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2050: 43.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)43%2050: 45.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)45%20502055: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2055: 2.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 17.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)17%2055: 72.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)73%20552060: 7.8% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)8%2060: 2.2% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 1.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2060: 88.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)89%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%21.8%78.2%
20300.0%0.0%0.0%59.4%40.6%
20350.0%0.0%25.0%67.2%7.8%
20400.0%25.8%48.8%17.5%7.8%
204522.2%40.5%27.3%2.2%7.8%
205045.1%43.4%1.5%2.2%7.8%
205572.7%17.3%0.0%2.2%7.8%
206088.9%1.1%0.0%2.2%7.8%

Every job in Other Repair and Maintenance Workers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Industrial Machinery MechanicsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9041
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 30%Needs a human 65%
20532045–2060+
440k
$64,520
Medical Equipment RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9062
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 26%Needs a human 74%
20532045–2060+
66k
$61,660
Geothermal TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9099.01
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 27%Needs a human 73%
20542045–2060+
176k
$49,230
Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9091
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 32%Needs a human 68%
20542045–2060+
26k
$47,450
Camera and Photographic Equipment RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9061
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 14%Needs a human 81%
20542045–2060+
2k
$52,720
Home Appliance RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9031
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20552046–2060+
32k
$50,990
Wind Turbine Service TechniciansInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9081
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20562045–2060+
10k
$64,120
Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9021
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 4%AI helps 11%Needs a human 85%
20552045–2060+
410k
$61,010
Maintenance Workers, MachineryInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9043
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 18%Needs a human 82%
20562045–2060+
60k
$60,850
Watch and Clock RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9064
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 18%Needs a human 82%
20562045–2060+
1k
$67,230
Maintenance and Repair Workers, GeneralInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9071
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20562046–2060+
1.5M
$49,590
Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical DoorInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9012
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20562045–2060+
48k
$74,340
Telecommunications Line Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9052
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 5%Needs a human 95%
20562045–2060+
98k
$74,330
Mechanical Door RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9011
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 13%Needs a human 87%
20562046–2060+
27k
$55,720
RiggersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9096
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20562045–2060+
23k
$62,640
Manufactured Building and Mobile Home InstallersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9095
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20572045–2060+
3k
$45,990
Commercial DiversInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9092
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20572046–2060+
3k
$72,990
Electrical Power-Line Installers and RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9051
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582045–2060+
131k
$95,320
Locksmiths and Safe RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9094
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20582046–2060+
15k
$51,320
Helpers–Installation, Maintenance, and Repair WorkersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9098
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20582046–2060+
96k
$39,630
Musical Instrument Repairers and TunersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9063
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20582045–2060+
5k
$46,420
Signal and Track Switch RepairersInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9097
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 9%Needs a human 91%
20582046–2060+
9k
$92,460
MillwrightsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9044
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592046–2060+
40k
$65,700
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except BrickmasonsInstallation, Maintenance, and Repair · 49-9045
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592045–2060+
1k
$61,290