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Will AI replace operations specialties managers?

19 jobs scored. On average 39% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 70 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

70
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
19
Jobs scored in this family
39%
Average share of that still needs a person
6.1M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Operations Specialties Managers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
92% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
100% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%Today2030: 44.9% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)45%2030: 55.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)55%20302035: 0.6% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2035: 33.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)33%2035: 44.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)45%2035: 21.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)21%20352040: 3.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2040: 31.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)31%2040: 65.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)65%20402045: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)9%2045: 91.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)92%20452050: 0.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2050: 99.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20502055: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20552060: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%55.1%44.9%0.0%
203521.4%44.6%33.3%0.6%0.0%
204065.1%31.4%3.6%0.0%0.0%
204591.5%8.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
205099.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2055100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2060100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every job in Operations Specialties Managers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Investment Fund ManagersManagement · 11-3031.03
61↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 80%Needs a human 6%
20382035–2045
842k
$166,570
Training and Development ManagersManagement · 11-3131
66↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 11%AI helps 64%Needs a human 25%
20392036–2047
48k
$133,000
Purchasing ManagersManagement · 11-3061
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 63%Needs a human 27%
20402036–2048
84k
$148,080
Transportation, Storage, and Distribution ManagersManagement · 11-3071
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 57%Needs a human 35%
20402036–2049
221k
$107,230
Financial ManagersManagement · 11-3031
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 12%AI helps 64%Needs a human 24%
20392036–2048
842k
$166,570
Computer and Information Systems ManagersManagement · 11-3021
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 13%AI helps 56%Needs a human 31%
20402036–2048
671k
$175,140
Compensation and Benefits ManagersManagement · 11-3111
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 69%Needs a human 31%
20412036–2050
23k
$149,230
Supply Chain ManagersManagement · 11-3071.04
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 60%Needs a human 40%
20412036–2050
221k
$107,230
Security ManagersManagement · 11-3013.01
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 53%Needs a human 43%
20402036–2050
156k
$106,660
Quality Control Systems ManagersManagement · 11-3051.01
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 60%Needs a human 40%
20412036–2050
246k
$126,060
Human Resources ManagersManagement · 11-3121
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 60%Needs a human 40%
20412036–2050
221k
$149,280
Treasurers and ControllersManagement · 11-3031.01
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 52%Needs a human 45%
20412036–2051
842k
$166,570
Industrial Production ManagersManagement · 11-3051
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 54%Needs a human 46%
20412036–2051
246k
$126,060
Administrative Services ManagersManagement · 11-3012
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 53%Needs a human 47%
20412036–2051
264k
$114,130
Biomass Power Plant ManagersManagement · 11-3051.04
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 43%Needs a human 51%
20422037–2054
246k
$126,060
Facilities ManagersManagement · 11-3013
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 57%Needs a human 43%
20422036–2051
156k
$106,660
Geothermal Production ManagersManagement · 11-3051.02
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 52%Needs a human 48%
20422037–2053
246k
$126,060
Hydroelectric Production ManagersManagement · 11-3051.06
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 54%Needs a human 46%
20422037–2053
246k
$126,060
Biofuels Production ManagersManagement · 11-3051.03
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 35%Needs a human 65%
20422037–2053
246k
$126,060