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needsahuman.

Will AI replace security managers?

A little.

This job scores 71 out of 100 on (higher is safer). Today AI could do about 4% of the work by itself, people do 53% with AI’s help, and 43% still needs a person.

Updated 3 October 2026 11-3013.01 1259, 3582 2026-Q4
ManagementSecurity Managers11-3013.01 · 2026-Q4
4% AI does it53% AI helps43% needs a human
Your job's name, lit by the work that still needs a human.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%

AI does it: AI can do the task largely by itself. AI helps: a person still does it, faster with AI. Needs a human: AI can do little of it yet.

Each ridge is a slice of the job's task time.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%
The job’s mark

No two jobs leave the same print

Every job gets its own fingerprint, drawn from its code. The amber ridges are the share of task time that still needs a person. Below them, the same ridges are written out in ones and zeros: slate for the work AI helps with, white for the work AI can do.

Security Managers, O*NET-SOC 11-3013.01. 43% of the job’s task time still needs a human, so 43 of every 100 ridges are amber; slate is what AI helps with, white what AI can do.

What AI can and cannot do

The tasks that make up the job, from , and where AI stands on each today: , (a person does it, with AI speeding it up) or . 43% of the still needs a human.

Each block is one task; its height is its share of working time.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%
The job's task list: the parts AI can do are blacked out.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%
Develop budgets for security operations.AI helps
Identify, investigate, or resolve security breaches.AI helps
Plan, direct, or coordinate security activities to safeguard company employees, guests, or others on company property.Needs a human
Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.AI helps
Respond to medical emergencies, bomb threats, fire alarms, or intrusion alarms, following emergency response procedures.Needs a human
Analyze and evaluate security operations to identify risks or opportunities for improvement through auditing, review, or assessment.AI helps
Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.AI helps
Assess risks to mitigate potential consequences of incidents and develop a plan to respond to incidents.AI helps
Supervise or provide leadership to subordinate security professionals, performing activities such as hiring, investigating applicants' backgrounds, training, assigning work, evaluating performance, or disciplining.Needs a human
Develop, implement, manage, or evaluate policies and methods to protect personnel against harassment, threats, or violence.Needs a human
Develop, recommend, or manage security procedures for operations or processes, such as security call centers, access control, and reporting tools.AI helps
Plan security for special and high-risk events.Needs a human
Conduct threat or vulnerability analyses to determine probable frequency, criticality, consequence, or severity of natural or man-made disasters or criminal activity on the organization's profitability or delivery of products or services.AI helps
Conduct physical examinations of property to ensure compliance with security policies and regulations.Needs a human
Monitor security policies, programs or procedures to ensure compliance with internal security policies, or applicable government security requirements, policies, and directives.AI helps
Coordinate security operations or activities with public law enforcement, fire and other agencies.Needs a human
Monitor and ensure a sound, ethical environment.Needs a human
Write or review security-related documents, such as incident reports, proposals, and tactical or strategic initiatives.AI does it
Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols.AI helps
Train subordinate security professionals or other organization members in security rules and procedures.AI helps
Develop or manage investigation programs, including collection and preservation of video and notes of surveillance processes or investigative interviews.Needs a human
Prepare reports or make presentations on internal investigations, losses, or violations of regulations, policies and procedures.AI helps
Attend meetings, professional seminars, or conferences to keep abreast of changes in executive legislative directives or new technologies impacting security operations.AI helps
Purchase security-related supplies, equipment, or technology.AI helps
Develop, arrange for, perform, or assess executive protection activities to reduce security risks.Needs a human
Review financial reports to ensure efficiency and quality of security operations.AI helps
Develop, conduct, support, or assist in governmental reviews, internal corporate evaluations, or assessments of the overall effectiveness of facility and personnel security processes.Needs a human
Support efforts to reduce substance abuse or other illegal activities in the workplace.Needs a human

Is it better than a person? The evidence

No direct test against people in this job yet. Every study is , and vendor studies are labelled as such.

When could it be replaced?

When AI could largely do this job: 2036–2050

Most likely between 2036 and 2050 (8 in 10 of our scenarios). A range from our of how fast AI improves, how fast employers take it up and what holds it back, not a forecast that the job ends. “” has a strict meaning here. Today’s answer is at the top of the page; this is how it could change.

The sand is the human working years left, measured in the same 40-year glass for every job, so a safe trade starts nearly full and an exposed job with a thin layer.

The sand is the human working years left, in the same 40-year glass for every job.Years still needing a humanYears run out

How this job could shift, year by year

Where the job could sit on our scale each year to 2060, across the ten behind its .

Today
Will AI replace this job?
A little.
By 2045
90%
of our scenarios have AI largely doing this job by 2045 (Largely.)
0% still have it mostly needing a person (A little. or Nah.)
By 2060
100%
of our scenarios have AI largely doing this job by 2060 (Largely.)
0% still have it mostly needing a person (A little. or Nah.)

We run this job as ten scenarios spread across its replacement range. In each, the score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year that scenario reaches it, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each bar splits the ten by the band they put the job in. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of this job's scenarios in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of scenarios: AI could do a little of this job (A little.)100%Today2030: 50.0% of scenarios: AI could do a little of this job (A little.)50%2030: 50.0% of scenarios: AI could partly do this job (Partly.)50%20302035: 40.0% of scenarios: AI could partly do this job (Partly.)40%2035: 40.0% of scenarios: AI could mostly do this job (Mostly.)40%2035: 20.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)20%20352040: 40.0% of scenarios: AI could mostly do this job (Mostly.)40%2040: 60.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)60%20402045: 10.0% of scenarios: AI could mostly do this job (Mostly.)10%2045: 90.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)90%20452050: 100.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)100%20502055: 100.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)100%20552060: 100.0% of scenarios: AI could largely do this job (Largely.)100%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of this job's scenarios in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%
203520.0%40.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
204060.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
204590.0%10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2050100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2055100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2060100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

What’s stopping AI taking over?

The things that keep this work with people, strongest first. Each is scored 0 to 100 from work context, licensing and the evidence we have.

LiabilityMistakes are rated 3.3 out of 5 for consequence and decisions 4.2 out of 5 for impact; someone has to answer for them.
Clients want a personFace-to-face contact is rated 4.6 and physical closeness 3.4 out of 5; caring for or serving people is 3.7 out of 5 in importance.
Evidence gapNo study yet compares AI with people doing this job, so employers have no proof it is good enough.
RegulationWorkers rate responsibility for others' health and safety 4.1 out of 5.
LicensingUsual entry requirement (BLS): bachelor's degree.
Physical work7% of the task time is physical; robots have been shown on 0% of that time.

What would it cost to hand the work to AI?

The share of the year AI could handle (614 of 2,080 hours a year), priced two ways. Both are ranges, not quotes.

AI model usage, a year
$60–$6,140
A person’s wage for the same hours
$19,020–$51,960

AI cost covers model usage only: no integration, licences, oversight or the human time still needed to review the work. Human cost is the wage for the same hours, without benefits or overheads. As of 2026-10.

Robots and humanoids

AI software can only take the work at a screen. The rest needs a robot that can do it.

7%
of the task time is physical work
None needed
the kind of robot the physical work would need
Little of this job is physical, so robotics is not what holds AI back.

Source: Anthropic Economic Index, 'What work can robots do?' (30 September 2026); O*NET 31.0 task weights.

Which AI skills does this job lean on?

The job’s task time split by what an AI model would need to be good at, and where models stand today.

Each star is a task, grouped by the AI skill it leans on.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%
Writing · 18.8% of time
Strong
Drafts, edits and translates most routine documents at professional quality.
Analysis · 29.6% of time
Strong
Reliable on structured data and rules; uneven on judgement calls with thin information.
Coding · 0% of time
Strong
Agents complete many routine software tasks end to end; larger systems still need people.
Vision and design · 0% of time
Good
Reads documents, images and layouts well; specialist imaging needs dedicated, approved tools.
Speech · 3.8% of time
Good
Voice agents handle routine calls and live interpreting; complex or sensitive calls still go to people.
Planning and agents · 26.2% of time
Emerging
Multi-step agents work in narrow, well-tooled workflows; open-ended coordination is unreliable.
Physical manipulation · 9.5% of time
Early
Robots handle structured, repetitive handling; general dexterity outside fixed settings is not commercial.
Care and persuasion · 12% of time
Limited
Can script, coach and advise; trust, presence and accountability still need a person.
Amber matter holds its orbit, slate circles the inner disc, white falls in.Needs a human 43%AI helps 53%AI does it 4%
How exposed is it?

Still needs a human: 71/100↑ safer

The amber matter on the outside holds its orbit: that is the task time that still needs a person. The slate matter circling the inner disc is the work AI helps with. The white matter is the share AI can do; it spirals in and is gone over the edge.

The matter follows the job’s task split: 43% needs a human, 53% AI helps, 4% AI does it. Still needs a human: 71/100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.

What the AIs say

We asked four AI assistants the same question: will AI replace this job in the next 10 years? One word (Yes, Partly or No), then one sentence. Our own answer, from the data: Still needs a human: 71/100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.

ChatGPTPartly

AI will automate many monitoring, analysis, and reporting tasks, but human security managers will still be needed for judgment, leadership, accountability, and handling complex incidents.

gpt-5.5-2026-04-23 · asked 2026-10-03
ClaudeNo

AI will transform and augment security management by automating routine monitoring and threat detection, but the role requires contextual judgment, stakeholder communication, ethical decision-making, and accountability that remain fundamentally human responsibilities.

claude-sonnet-5 · asked 2026-10-03
GeminiPartly

While AI will automate routine threat detection and technical analysis, human security managers will still be essential for strategic decision-making, crisis leadership, and managing complex business risks.

gemini-3.8-flash · asked 2026-10-03
PerplexityNo

AI will automate routine security work, but human judgment, accountability, leadership, and crisis management will keep security managers necessary.

sonar · asked 2026-10-03

Assistants answer from what they learned in training (Perplexity also searches the web), so they can be confidently wrong, and the same question can get a different answer tomorrow. Our score is built from task data and graded evidence. Answers collected through DataForSEO.

Cite this page

NeedsAHuman.com (2026). Will AI replace Security Managers? A little. Still needs a human: 71/100, higher is safer; release 2026-Q4. https://needsahuman.com/jobs/security-managers/ (accessed 4 October 2026).

Scores change with each , so cite the release. The data is open under : credit NeedsAHuman.com with a link. Open data · Press

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The badge updates itself with each release and links back to this page.

Sources

  • Tasks and work context: 31.0, ().
  • Jobs, pay and projections: US , and 2025–35.
  • How AI is used today: ; Microsoft Research, .
  • What AI can do: our task ratings ( r1) and the quality evidence register.
  • UK names and employment: coding index and .

How each score is built: methodology. Every figure on this page: open data. Release 2026-Q4.