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Will AI replace other managers?

28 jobs scored. On average 46% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 71 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

71
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
28
Jobs scored in this family
46%
Average share of that still needs a person
7M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Other Managers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
83% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
100% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%Today2030: 62.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)63%2030: 37.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)37%20302035: 2.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2035: 42.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)42%2035: 37.2% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)37%2035: 18.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)19%20352040: 7.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)8%2040: 33.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)33%2040: 59.1% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)59%20402045: 16.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)17%2045: 83.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)83%20452050: 1.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2050: 98.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)99%20502055: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%20552060: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)100%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%37.3%62.7%0.0%
203518.7%37.2%42.1%2.0%0.0%
204059.1%33.3%7.5%0.0%0.0%
204583.3%16.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
205098.7%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2055100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2060100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every job in Other Managers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Regulatory Affairs ManagersManagement · 11-9199.01
65↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 15%AI helps 63%Needs a human 22%
20402036–2048
622k
$141,900
Compliance ManagersManagement · 11-9199.02
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 58%Needs a human 34%
20402036–2048
622k
$141,900
Spa ManagersManagement · 11-9179.02
68↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 14%AI helps 48%Needs a human 38%
20402036–2050
10k
$69,770
Fitness and Wellness CoordinatorsManagement · 11-9179.01
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 8%AI helps 51%Needs a human 41%
20402036–2050
10k
$69,770
Lodging ManagersManagement · 11-9081
69↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 51%Needs a human 44%
20402036–2050
43k
$69,250
Medical and Health Services ManagersManagement · 11-9111
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 50%Needs a human 45%
20412036–2050
597k
$123,860
Property, Real Estate, and Community Association ManagersManagement · 11-9141
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 65%Needs a human 31%
20412036–2051
311k
$69,990
Gambling ManagersManagement · 11-9071
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 71%Needs a human 29%
20412036–2050
5k
$93,220
Social and Community Service ManagersManagement · 11-9151
70↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 13%AI helps 33%Needs a human 54%
20402036–2049
209k
$80,390
Postmasters and Mail SuperintendentsManagement · 11-9131
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 10%AI helps 41%Needs a human 49%
20412036–2050
14k
$96,660
Wind Energy Development ManagersManagement · 11-9199.10
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 59%Needs a human 35%
20412036–2050
622k
$141,900
Clinical Research CoordinatorsManagement · 11-9121.01
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 68%Needs a human 29%
20412037–2052
109k
$167,220
Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and DaycareManagement · 11-9031
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 7%AI helps 44%Needs a human 49%
20402036–2050
74k
$59,300
Emergency Management DirectorsManagement · 11-9161
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 61%Needs a human 39%
20412036–2051
14k
$93,330
Water Resource SpecialistsManagement · 11-9121.02
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 65%Needs a human 35%
20412036–2051
109k
$167,220
Construction ManagersManagement · 11-9021
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 59%Needs a human 41%
20412036–2051
380k
$114,990
Wind Energy Operations ManagersManagement · 11-9199.09
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 56%Needs a human 44%
20422036–2051
622k
$141,900
Funeral Home ManagersManagement · 11-9171
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 2%AI helps 57%Needs a human 41%
20412036–2050
14k
$78,790
Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development ManagersManagement · 11-9041.01
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 38%Needs a human 62%
20422037–2054
220k
$171,270
Architectural and Engineering ManagersManagement · 11-9041
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 43%Needs a human 57%
20412036–2051
220k
$171,270
Loss Prevention ManagersManagement · 11-9199.08
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 40%Needs a human 60%
20412036–2051
622k
$141,900
Education Administrators, Kindergarten through SecondaryManagement · 11-9032
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 28%Needs a human 68%
20412036–2051
328k
$105,870
Food Service ManagersManagement · 11-9051
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 49%Needs a human 51%
20432037–2056
238k
$69,390
Brownfield Redevelopment Specialists and Site ManagersManagement · 11-9199.11
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 47%Needs a human 53%
20412036–2052
622k
$141,900
Natural Sciences ManagersManagement · 11-9121
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 3%AI helps 32%Needs a human 65%
20402036–2050
109k
$167,220
Education Administrators, PostsecondaryManagement · 11-9033
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 46%Needs a human 54%
20412036–2051
180k
$104,590
Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except GamblingManagement · 11-9072
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 50%Needs a human 50%
20432037–2057
38k
$79,520
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural ManagersManagement · 11-9013
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 39%Needs a human 61%
20442038–2059
7k
$89,900