Will AI replace assemblers and fabricators?
9 jobs scored. On average 89% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 84 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
84
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
9
Jobs scored in this family
89%
Average share of Task timeHow a job’s working hours divide between its tasks. Tasks that matter more and come up more often get a bigger share.More in the glossary that still needs a person
2M
US workers in these jobs
How the work could shift in Assemblers and Fabricators
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
31%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
3%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
20% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
3%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
88% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 83.2% | 16.8% |
| 2035 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28.0% | 68.9% | 3.1% |
| 2040 | 0.0% | 28.1% | 54.7% | 14.1% | 3.1% |
| 2045 | 20.0% | 44.9% | 25.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 2050 | 48.1% | 39.7% | 2.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 2055 | 67.8% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 2060 | 87.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
Every job in Assemblers and Fabricators, ranked
Team AssemblersProduction · 51-2092
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 29%Needs a human 71%
20552046–2060+
1.4M
$44,650
Electrical and Electronic Equipment AssemblersProduction · 51-2022
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 7%AI helps 6%Needs a human 87%
20552046–2060+
247k
$45,850
Coil Winders, Tapers, and FinishersProduction · 51-2021
83↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20562046–2060+
13k
$48,220
Engine and Other Machine AssemblersProduction · 51-2031
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 10%Needs a human 90%
20582046–2060+
34k
$53,710
Electromechanical Equipment AssemblersProduction · 51-2023
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 8%Needs a human 92%
20582046–2060+
247k
$45,850
Timing Device Assemblers and AdjustersProduction · 51-2061
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 0%Needs a human 95%
20582046–2060+
250
$62,620
Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersProduction · 51-2011
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 5%AI helps 0%Needs a human 95%
20582046–2060+
34k
$65,380
Structural Metal Fabricators and FittersProduction · 51-2041
86↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 6%Needs a human 94%
20592046–2060+
52k
$51,330
Fiberglass Laminators and FabricatorsProduction · 51-2051
87↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20592046–2060+
16k
$46,880