Will AI replace plant and system operators?
11 jobs scored. On average 72% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 78 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
78
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
11
Jobs scored in this family
72%
Average share of Task timeHow a job’s working hours divide between its tasks. Tasks that matter more and come up more often get a bigger share.More in the glossary that still needs a person
340k
US workers in these jobs
How the work could shift in Plant and System Operators
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
70%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
7%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
21% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
7%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
90% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 90.9% | 9.1% |
| 2035 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.1% | 63.9% | 7.0% |
| 2040 | 0.0% | 30.9% | 53.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| 2045 | 21.4% | 46.6% | 22.3% | 2.7% | 7.0% |
| 2050 | 45.9% | 44.1% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 7.0% |
| 2055 | 74.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 7.0% |
| 2060 | 90.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 7.0% |
Every job in Plant and System Operators, ranked
Power Distributors and DispatchersProduction · 51-8012
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 66%Needs a human 34%
20492045–2059
9k
$106,730
Power Plant OperatorsProduction · 51-8013
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 53%Needs a human 42%
20532046–2060+
29k
$102,040
Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and GaugersProduction · 51-8093
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 5%AI helps 35%Needs a human 60%
20542046–2060+
33k
$96,710
Gas Plant OperatorsProduction · 51-8092
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 22%Needs a human 78%
20542046–2060+
18k
$87,820
Biofuels Processing TechniciansProduction · 51-8099.01
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 29%Needs a human 71%
20552046–2060+
14k
$62,470
Nuclear Power Reactor OperatorsProduction · 51-8011
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20532046–2060+
5k
$122,890
Stationary Engineers and Boiler OperatorsProduction · 51-8021
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20552046–2060+
28k
$78,620
Chemical Plant and System OperatorsProduction · 51-8091
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 23%Needs a human 77%
20542046–2060+
17k
$78,120
Hydroelectric Plant TechniciansProduction · 51-8013.04
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 18%Needs a human 82%
20562046–2060+
29k
$102,040
Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System OperatorsProduction · 51-8031
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20562046–2060+
128k
$60,020
Biomass Plant TechniciansProduction · 51-8013.03
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 7%Needs a human 93%
20582046–2060+
29k
$102,040