Will AI replace firefighting and prevention workers?
3 jobs scored. On average 78% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 80 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
80
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? Nah.
3
Jobs scored in this family
78%
Average share of Task timeHow a job’s working hours divide between its tasks. Tasks that matter more and come up more often get a bigger share.More in the glossary that still needs a person
363k
US workers in these jobs
How the work could shift in Firefighting and Prevention Workers
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
95%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
10%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
31% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
10%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
90% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 95.4% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.2% | 66.8% |
| 2035 | 0.0% | 10.0% | 21.4% | 59.1% | 9.5% |
| 2040 | 10.0% | 20.9% | 40.0% | 19.5% | 9.5% |
| 2045 | 30.9% | 30.0% | 29.1% | 0.5% | 9.5% |
| 2050 | 50.9% | 39.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 9.5% |
| 2055 | 70.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 9.5% |
| 2060 | 90.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 9.5% |
Every job in Firefighting and Prevention Workers, ranked
Fire Inspectors and InvestigatorsProtective Service · 33-2021
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 34%Needs a human 66%
20492042–2060+
14k
$75,920
Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention SpecialistsProtective Service · 33-2022
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 30%Needs a human 70%
20492042–2060+
3k
$56,870
FirefightersProtective Service · 33-2011
85↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 3%Needs a human 97%
20542042–2060+
346k
$59,280