Will AI replace law enforcement workers?
10 jobs scored. On average 67% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 78 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.
78
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
10
Jobs scored in this family
67%
Average share of Task timeHow a job’s working hours divide between its tasks. Tasks that matter more and come up more often get a bigger share.More in the glossary that still needs a person
2.1M
US workers in these jobs
How the work could shift in Law Enforcement Workers
The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
37%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
4%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
47% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
4%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
90% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 95.3% | 3.7% |
| 2035 | 0.0% | 13.7% | 40.2% | 42.4% | 3.7% |
| 2040 | 14.1% | 36.7% | 39.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 2045 | 46.9% | 36.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 2050 | 67.3% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 2055 | 90.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 2060 | 90.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
Every job in Law Enforcement Workers, ranked
Intelligence AnalystsProtective Service · 33-3021.06
67↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 77%Needs a human 17%
20442040–2053
114k
$93,790
Customs and Border Protection OfficersProtective Service · 33-3051.04
73↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 52%Needs a human 48%
20472041–2060+
671k
$76,210
Detectives and Criminal InvestigatorsProtective Service · 33-3021
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 33%Needs a human 61%
20482042–2060+
114k
$93,790
Parking Enforcement WorkersProtective Service · 33-3041
77↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 36%Needs a human 64%
20482042–2060+
9k
$46,730
Police and Sheriff’s Patrol OfficersProtective Service · 33-3051
79↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 21%Needs a human 79%
20502042–2060+
671k
$76,210
Fish and Game WardensProtective Service · 33-3031
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 25%Needs a human 75%
20512042–2060+
6k
$74,060
Transit and Railroad PoliceProtective Service · 33-3052
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20502042–2060+
4k
$90,230
Police Identification and Records OfficersProtective Service · 33-3021.02
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 21%Needs a human 79%
20512042–2060+
114k
$93,790
Correctional Officers and JailersProtective Service · 33-3012
81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20512042–2060+
381k
$58,940
BailiffsProtective Service · 33-3011
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 16%Needs a human 84%
20512042–2060+
17k
$56,600