Opens in a new tab
needsahuman.

Will AI replace other transportation workers?

9 jobs scored. On average 76% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 79 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

79
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
9
Jobs scored in this family
76%
Average share of that still needs a person
383k
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Other Transportation Workers

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
85%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
9%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
32% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
9%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
90% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 84.6% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)85%2026: 15.4% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)15%Today2030: 39.9% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)40%2030: 60.1% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)60%20302035: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2035: 56.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)56%2035: 35.5% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)36%20352040: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2040: 9.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)10%2040: 47.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)48%2040: 28.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)29%2040: 5.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)20402045: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2045: 1.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 21.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)21%2045: 36.4% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)36%2045: 32.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)32%20452050: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2050: 1.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 36.8% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)37%2050: 53.2% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)53%20502055: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2055: 1.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 12.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)12%2055: 77.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)78%20552060: 8.5% of US workers in this family in jobs that mostly need a person (Nah.)9%2060: 1.5% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 90.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)90%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%15.4%84.6%
20300.0%0.0%0.0%60.1%39.9%
20350.0%0.0%35.5%56.0%8.5%
20405.4%28.8%47.7%9.7%8.5%
204532.3%36.4%21.3%1.5%8.5%
205053.2%36.8%0.0%1.5%8.5%
205577.7%12.3%0.0%1.5%8.5%
206090.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%8.5%

Every job in Other Transportation Workers, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

Traffic TechniciansTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6041
74↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 43%Needs a human 53%
20492043–2060+
8k
$59,090
Passenger AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6061
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 9%AI helps 18%Needs a human 73%
20482043–2060+
27k
$37,720
Transportation InspectorsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6051
76↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 45%Needs a human 55%
20512043–2060+
25k
$92,100
Transportation Vehicle, Equipment and Systems Inspectors, Except AviationTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6051.07
78↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 32%Needs a human 68%
20522044–2060+
25k
$92,100
Aviation InspectorsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6051.01
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 20%Needs a human 80%
20522044–2060+
25k
$92,100
Bridge and Lock TendersTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6011
80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 19%Needs a human 81%
20532044–2060+
3k
$57,700
Automotive and Watercraft Service AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6031
82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 17%Needs a human 83%
20542044–2060+
102k
$35,670
Aircraft Service AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6032
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 10%Needs a human 90%
20542044–2060+
31k
$40,450
Parking AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-6021
84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.
AI does 0%AI helps 0%Needs a human 100%
20542043–2060+
138k
$35,150