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Will AI replace transportation supervisors?

5 jobs scored. On average 51% of the task time in these jobs still needs a person, and the family averages 72 out of 100 on Still needs a human, where higher is safer.

72
Average Still needs a human score, 0 to 100 ↑ safer. Will AI replace them? A little.
5
Jobs scored in this family
51%
Average share of that still needs a person
2.5M
US workers in these jobs

How the work could shift in Transportation Supervisors

The share of US workers in these jobs whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.

Today
0%
of US workers in this family are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
53% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
0%
of US workers in this family would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
98% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)

Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works

Share of US workers in this family in each verdict band, today to 20600%25%50%75%100%2026: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%Today2030: 100.0% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)100%20302035: 23.4% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)23%2035: 66.6% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)67%2035: 9.9% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)10%20352040: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2040: 35.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)35%2040: 50.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)50%2040: 13.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)13%20402045: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2045: 3.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could partly do (Partly.)2045: 41.7% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)42%2045: 53.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)53%20452050: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2050: 23.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)23%2050: 75.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)75%20502055: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2055: 3.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could mostly do (Mostly.)2055: 95.0% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)95%20552060: 1.7% of US workers in this family in jobs where AI could do a little of the work (A little.)2060: 98.3% of US workers in this family in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)98%2060
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Share of US workers in this family whose job would sit in each band, year by year. Updated with every release.
Show the data
YearLargelyMostlyPartlyA littleNah
Today (2026)0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20300.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
20350.0%9.9%66.6%23.4%0.0%
204013.3%50.0%35.0%1.7%0.0%
204553.3%41.7%3.3%1.7%0.0%
205075.0%23.3%0.0%1.7%0.0%
205595.0%3.3%0.0%1.7%0.0%
206098.3%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%

Every job in Transportation Supervisors, ranked

How to read a row: the number is the Still needs a human score, out of 100, higher is safer; “AI replace?” is our answer to “Will AI replace this job?”; the bar is the task split: white AI does it, grey AI helps, amber needs a human.

First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, HandTransportation and Material Moving · 53-1042
71↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 6%AI helps 46%Needs a human 48%
20482043–2060+
624k
$62,890
Recycling CoordinatorsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-1042.01
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 63%Needs a human 37%
20482043–2059
624k
$62,890
First-Line Supervisors of Passenger AttendantsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-1044
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 4%AI helps 37%Needs a human 59%
20462042–2057
624k
$62,890
First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle OperatorsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-1043
72↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 47%Needs a human 53%
20482043–2060
624k
$62,890
Aircraft Cargo Handling SupervisorsTransportation and Material Moving · 53-1041
75↑ saferAI replace? A little.
AI does 0%AI helps 40%Needs a human 60%
20492043–2060+
10k
$58,170