Jobs in agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting have an average Still needs a human score of 79.5 out of 100 (higher is safer), 5.5 points above the average for all jobs of 74.0 and 5th of 37 among the sectors (1st is least exposed). The largest job here is farmworkers and laborers, crop, nursery, and greenhouse (429,000 workers, 83/100 ↑ safer), and of the jobs more common here than across the economy, human resources assistants, except payroll and timekeeping is the most exposed (59/100 ↑ safer).
79.5/100↑ safer
1.6%
+1.5%
How the work here could shift
The share of workers in this sector whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Today
62%
of workers in this sector are in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
0% are in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2045
6%
of workers in this sector would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
38% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
By 2060
6%
of workers in this sector would still be in jobs that mostly need a person (our top band, Nah.)
87% would be in jobs AI could largely do (Largely.)
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Will AI replace the job?Largely.Mostly.Partly.A little.Nah.
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 36.4% | 62.0% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 10.5% | 50.8% | 38.2% |
| 2035 | 4.0% | 12.9% | 24.2% | 52.5% | 6.4% |
| 2040 | 17.0% | 24.0% | 37.5% | 15.3% | 6.2% |
| 2045 | 37.5% | 28.7% | 26.9% | 0.7% | 6.2% |
| 2050 | 56.6% | 30.5% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 6.2% |
| 2055 | 72.9% | 20.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 6.2% |
| 2060 | 87.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 6.2% |
The largest jobs in agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers in the sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse | 83↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 429,200 |
| 2 | Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers | 76↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2038–2059 | 257,400 |
| 3 | Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals | 84↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 175,900 |
| 4 | Agricultural Equipment Operators | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 48,000 |
| 5 | First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers | 79↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2046–2060+ | 40,800 |
| 6 | Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 79↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2044–2060+ | 32,000 |
| 7 | Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 28,300 |
| 8 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2046 | 21,700 |
| 9 | Logging Equipment Operators | 83↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 16,100 |
| 10 | Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 15,100 |
Common jobs here that AI can do most of
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers in the sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Customer Service Representatives | 51↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2041 | 4,000 |
| 2 | Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 57↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2044 | 10,000 |
| 3 | Computer Systems Analysts | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2033–2042 | 2,500 |
| 4 | Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2035–2045 | 3,400 |
| 5 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2046 | 21,700 |
| 6 | Human Resources Specialists | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2045 | 1,600 |
| 7 | Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 15,100 |
| 8 | Billing and Posting Clerks | 62↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 1,600 |
| 9 | Software Developers | 62↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2034–2044 | 2,700 |
| 10 | Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks | 63↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 2,700 |
Common jobs here that most need a human
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers in the sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators | 88↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 10,700 |
| 2 | Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 88↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2047–2060+ | 3,300 |
| 3 | Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders | 87↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 2,400 |
| 4 | Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment | 87↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 5,900 |
| 5 | Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers | 87↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 4,100 |
| 6 | Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 28,300 |
| 7 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 9,600 |
| 8 | Agricultural Equipment Operators | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 48,000 |
| 9 | Packers and Packagers, Hand | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 13,400 |
| 10 | Fallers | 85↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 2,400 |
How this is worked out
- The average weights every job's Still needs a human score by how many people do it in this sector, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' industry employment data. Jobs cover 92.5% of the sector's employment.
- Job scores are national: an accountant in retail scores the same as an accountant anywhere. The sector figure reflects its mix of jobs, not how its employers use AI; the Census figure shows that.