Jobs in education have an average Still needs a human score of 72.6 out of 100 (higher is safer), 1.4 points below the average for all jobs of 74.0 and 24th of 37 among the sectors (1st is least exposed). The largest job here is elementary school teachers, except special education (1,394,000 workers, 75/100 ↑ safer), and of the jobs more common here than across the economy, credit counselors is the most exposed (60/100 ↑ safer).
How the work here could shift
The share of workers in this sector whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 83.4% | 15.3% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 43.6% | 49.5% | 5.2% |
| 2035 | 26.0% | 28.6% | 29.6% | 14.0% | 1.8% |
| 2040 | 55.1% | 27.2% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| 2045 | 76.1% | 17.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| 2050 | 89.3% | 7.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| 2055 | 95.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| 2060 | 96.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
The largest jobs in education
Common jobs here that AI can do most of
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers in the sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Customer Service Representatives | 51↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2041 | 34,200 |
| 2 | Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists | 54↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2034–2042 | 32,100 |
| 3 | Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 54↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2042 | 16,400 |
| 4 | Computer Systems Analysts | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2033–2042 | 24,900 |
| 5 | Credit Counselors | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2045 | 18,000 |
| 6 | Receptionists and Information Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 32,000 |
| 7 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2046 | 75,200 |
| 8 | Interviewers, Except Eligibility and Loan | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2045 | 16,800 |
| 9 | Social Science Research Assistants | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2037–2047 | 18,100 |
| 10 | Human Resources Specialists | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2045 | 54,100 |
Common jobs here that most need a human
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers in the sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers | 88↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 33,300 |
| 2 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 424,700 |
| 3 | Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | 33,400 |
| 4 | Food Preparation Workers | 85↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 35,800 |
| 5 | Maintenance and Repair Workers, General | 83↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 124,600 |
| 6 | Fast Food and Counter Workers | 82↑ saferAI replace? Nah.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2044–2060+ | 117,700 |
| 7 | Teaching Assistants, Special Education | 81↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2035–2060+ | 605,600 |
| 8 | Childcare Workers | 81↑ saferAI replace? Nah.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2043–2060+ | 128,300 |
| 9 | School Bus Monitors | 81↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2042–2060+ | 31,400 |
| 10 | Bus Drivers, School | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 203,400 |
Related sectors: Elementary and secondary schools
How this is worked out
- The average weights every job's Still needs a human score by how many people do it in this sector, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' industry employment data. Jobs cover 96.2% of the sector's employment.
- Job scores are national: an accountant in retail scores the same as an accountant anywhere. The sector figure reflects its mix of jobs, not how its employers use AI; the Census figure shows that.