Jobs in the District of Columbia have an average Still needs a human score of 71.2 out of 100 (higher is safer), 2.8 points below the US average of 74.0 and 51st of 51 among the states and DC (1st is least exposed). The largest job here is general and operations managers (36,000 workers, 72/100 ↑ safer), and of the jobs more common here than across the economy, market research analysts and marketing specialists is the most exposed (54/100 ↑ safer).
How the work in District of Columbia could shift
The share of workers in the state whose job would sit in each band, from today to 2060.
Each job's score moves towards the bottom band (Largely: AI could largely do the job) by the year it could be largely automated, slowly at first and faster later, as adoption usually goes. Each job is run as ten scenarios across its replacement range, so every figure mixes early and late outcomes. The model stops at 2060. How the timeline works
Show the data
| Year | Largely | Mostly | Partly | A little | Nah |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (2026) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 72.8% | 21.2% |
| 2030 | 0.0% | 2.4% | 43.7% | 43.6% | 10.3% |
| 2035 | 20.3% | 29.6% | 29.8% | 17.4% | 2.8% |
| 2040 | 49.3% | 28.3% | 15.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| 2045 | 73.1% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% |
| 2050 | 85.0% | 10.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% |
| 2055 | 92.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% |
| 2060 | 95.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% |
The largest jobs in District of Columbia
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers here |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General and Operations Managers | 72↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2051 | 36,150 |
| 2 | Lawyers | 72↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2049 | 33,070 |
| 3 | Management Analysts | 62↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2046 | 19,000 |
| 4 | Public Relations Specialists | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2036–2045 | 16,720 |
| 5 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 16,400 |
| 6 | Security Guards | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2042–2060+ | 15,880 |
| 7 | Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 61↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 11,800 |
| 8 | Waiters and Waitresses | 79↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2044–2060+ | 11,530 |
| 9 | Registered Nurses | 80↑ saferAI replace? Nah.workers of 5 related jobs | D | 2042–2060+ | 11,440 |
| 10 | Accountants and Auditors | 66↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 9,810 |
Common jobs here that AI can do most of
Jobs with at least 1,000 workers in the state, lowest score first.
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers here |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Customer Service Representatives | 51↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2041 | 7,550 |
| 2 | Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists | 54↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2034–2042 | 6,340 |
| 3 | Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 54↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2042 | 3,120 |
| 4 | Writers and Authors | 56↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2036–2044 | 1,050 |
| 5 | Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents | 58↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2034–2043 | 1,500 |
| 6 | Computer Systems Analysts | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2033–2042 | 2,480 |
| 7 | Information Security Analysts | 59↑ saferAI replace? Partly. | D | 2033–2043 | 1,510 |
| 8 | Economists | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2036–2046 | 3,000 |
| 9 | Receptionists and Information Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2047 | 2,000 |
| 10 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 60↑ saferAI replace? A little. | D | 2035–2046 | 1,790 |
Common jobs here that most need a human
| # | Job | Still needs a human | Evidence | Could be largely automated | Workers here |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dishwashers | 88↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | 3,580 |
| 2 | Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 88↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2047–2060+ | 3,800 |
| 3 | Construction Laborers | 87↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2048–2060+ | 2,090 |
| 4 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2046–2060+ | 16,400 |
| 5 | Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers | 86↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | 4,130 |
| 6 | Firefighters | 85↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2042–2060+ | 1,480 |
| 7 | Food Preparation Workers | 85↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2044–2060+ | 3,970 |
| 8 | Home Health Aides | 85↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | 6,405 |
| 9 | Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand | 84↑ saferAI replace? Nah.workers of 2 related jobs | D | 2044–2060+ | 1,200 |
| 10 | Nursing Assistants | 84↑ saferAI replace? Nah. | D | 2045–2060+ | 3,490 |
The job most over-represented in District of Columbia compared with the US as a whole is Political Scientists (154.1 times its share of US jobs), with a score of 62.
Neighboring states: Maryland, Virginia
How this is worked out
- The average weights every job's Still needs a human score by how many people do it in the state, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' employment survey (May 2025). Jobs cover 97.9% of the state's employment.
- Job scores are national: a state's accountants score the same as anyone else's. The state figure reflects its mix of jobs, not how its employers use AI.
- Where BLS hides a figure for a small job, the state's missing workers are shared out by national patterns; those estimates count in the average but never put a job on a list.